Union Berlin welcome Mainz in what should be an exciting Bundesliga clash. Given Mainz’s poor away record, our prediction points toward a 2-1 home win. Janik Haberer returns from suspension for the hosts after missing their narrow 1-0 win over Cologne, bolstering a midfield that averages 1.30 goals per game while conceding 1.30. Union Berlin have scored in 80% of their home matches this season, with BTTS occurring in 83% of home games, highlighting their attacking threat. Their expected goals of 1.65 at home suggest they should create plenty of opportunities against a Mainz side that has struggled on the road, earning just 0.40 points per away game.Mainz arrive off a goalless draw with St. Pauli and are without fresh injury concerns, but they have scored only 0.60 goals per away match and failed to find the net in 60% of their away fixtures. You should know that die Nullfunfer have recorded only one win on the road this term. H2H heavily favors Union Berlin, who have won 7 of the last 12 encounters, while Mainz have managed just 1 victory.
