Tondela head into this match looking to recover from a heavy 5-0 defeat to Guimaraes, and their recent form paints a worrying picture. Therefore, our prediction firmly points toward a 1-0 away win. Theyâve collected just 0.80 points per game across their last ten matches and remain winless at home, averaging only 0.50 goals scored while failing to score in 67% of those fixtures. Despite some defensive resilience at home (0.83 conceded), their lack of attacking threat is a major concern.Gil Vicente arrive with more confidence after a convincing 3-0 win over AFS. Os Galos average 1.40 points per game and have a stronger attacking profile, scoring 1.80 goals per match overall. However, their away form is less convincing, with just a 20% win rate and 2.00 goals conceded per game. The absence of suspended defender Ze Carlos could further impact their defensive stability.