Stoke City face Coventry City in a clash between two inconsistent Championship sides, but the visitors arrive with the clearer long-term objective as they push for Premier League promotion. Therefore, our prediction leans toward a 2-2 draw. Stokeâs recent form has improved with back-to-back wins, including a solid 2-0 victory over Norwich, and despite Ben Pearson limping off, his injury is not expected to be serious. At home, the Potters have been steady rather than spectacular, averaging 1.40 points per game and scoring 1.40 goals per match, though their attacking reliability remains questionable with a 40% failed-to-score rate overall.The Sky Blues, meanwhile, travel without suspended defender Bobby Thomas after his red card against Birmingham. Their away record is patchy, earning just 1.00 point per game on the road, yet their matches away from home tend to be lively, averaging 3.33 goals per game with an 83% BTTS rate. Offensively, Frank Lampard’s men remain the stronger side, producing 1.88 expected goals overall compared to Stokeâs 1.19, and their home form (75% win rate) indicates a higher potential despite inconsistent away results.
