Rayo Vallecano vs Mallorca Prediction & BETTING TIPS - 11/01/2026

Rayo Vallecano aim to build to return to winning ways as they welcome Mallorca to Vallecas. As los Bermellones are not regarded as good travellers, our prediction leans toward a 1-0 home win. The hosts are set to be without defender Luiz Felipe after he picked up a knock in the 1-1 local derby with Getafe, but Nobel Mendy should be an adequate substitute. Rayo have been difficult to beat at home (DDWD), conceding just 0.50 goals per match in front of their own fans and posting a solid 1.93 expected goals average at Vallecas. However, their attacking output remains modest, with only 1.25 goals scored per home game and a high 40% failure-to-score rate overall.Los Bermellones, on the other hand, travel to Madrid with only veteran goalkeeper Ivan Cuellar missing, following their 2-1 defeat to Girona. Their home form has been far stronger than their away performances: while they pick up 1.75 PPG at home, they manage only 0.83 PPG on the road, scoring just 0.83 goals per away match. Defensively, though, they mirror Rayo’s figures, conceding 1.50 goals per away game, and their overall BTTS rate stands at 60%.