Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction & BETTING TIPS - 28/02/2026

Rayo Vallecano return home after a solid 1-1 draw with Real Betis, and while they have no new injury concerns, Diego Mendez remains unavailable. As both sides are capable of scoring, we predict a 1-1 draw. Los Vallecanos’ form has been respectable, taking 1.75 points per game and scoring 1.75 goals on average at Vallecas. However, defensive issues linger, with only 25% clean sheets at home and 1.25 goals conceded. Rayo will need to stay alert to the movement of Gorka Guruzeta, who arrives in form after scoring a brace in Bilbao’s 2-1 win over Elche.Athletic Bilbao travel in excellent shape, winning four of their last five, and showing strong attacking numbers: 1.90 goals scored per match and 90% BTTS overall. Their away form is even better, with 2.00 goals scored per game and a 60% win rate, though clean sheets remain elusive (0% this season). With Nico Williams doubtful, they may rely more on Guruzeta’s current hot streak.