Newcastle vs Leeds United Prediction & BETTING TIPS - 07/01/2026

Newcastle United aim to extend their winning run at home as they host Leeds United at St James’ Park. As the Whites are not regarded as good travellers, our prediction points toward a 3-1 home win. Jacob Murphy is doubtful for the Magpies after picking up a knock in the 2-0 win over Crystal Palace, but Harvey Barnes is ready to step in. Eddie Howe’s side have been reliable at home, earning 2.20 points per game with a 60% win rate and scoring 2.00 goals per match. Their attacking output is backed by an expected goals of 1.76, while defensively they concede just 1.20 goals on average. Summer signing Nick Woltemade returns to the starting XI, which definitely supports our betting angle. Leeds welcome back Ethan Ampadu from suspension, and the squad remains injury-free after a hard-fought 1-1 draw with Manchester United. However, their away form is a major concern. Daniel Farke’s team have failed to win on the road all season, averaging only 0.60 points per game and scoring just 1.00 away goal. Their xGA of 1.59 suggests vulnerability against higher-quality attacks, which Newcastle certainly possess.