MK Dons vs Oxford United Prediction & BETTING TIPS - 09/01/2026

MK Dons enter this FA Cup tie in solid form, having suffered just one defeat across their last five matches. Given Oxford United’s poor form, we predict a 2-1 home win. The Dons have been especially reliable at Stadium MK, averaging 2.33 points per game and scoring 1.67 goals per home outing, while conceding only 0.67. Their expected goals and xGA at home (1.38 vs 1.18) underline a balanced, controlled approach, and with no fresh injury concerns after a 2-2 draw with Chesterfield, Paul Warne’s side should be well-prepared.Oxford United, meanwhile, continue to struggle for consistency. They have lost four of their last five games in the Championship and remain unconvincing away from home, taking just 0.40 points per game on the road. Goals have dried up too—only 0.60 scored per away match—and the likely absence of Tyler Goodrham removes one of their most inventive midfielders. Defensively, they have failed to keep a single clean sheet in their last five in all competitions.