Milan vs Parma Prediction & BETTING TIPS - 22/02/2026

With the Scudetto race still alive, Milan enter this fixture in strong form after a 2-1 win over Pisa. As Parma continue to struggle in front of goal, especially on the road, we predict a 1-0 home win. Mexican striker Santiago Gimenez remains the only absentee, but Massimiliano Allegri’s squad depth ensures minimal disruption. Milan’s home numbers are impressive: 2.33 PPG, 67% home wins, and they concede just 0.33 goals per game at San Siro, keeping 67% clean sheets. Their expected goals at home (2.27) also reflects consistent attacking output.Parma come into this after a morale-boosting 2-1 win over Verona, climbing toward mid-table. However, fitness clouds remain over Frigan, Ndiaye, and Estevez, and Parma’s attack continues to underwhelm—scoring just 0.8 goals per game both home and away. Defensively the Gli Emiliani are competent (40% clean sheets), but they allow 1.3 goals per game overall and regularly sit deep against top sides.