Levante return home aiming to build on their convincing 3-0 win over Sevilla, boosted by the return of key defender Manu Sanchez from suspension. However, we predict a 2-1 win for Espanyol, who proved their worth in the Catalan derby. Los Levantinos’ home form remains a major concern: they have taken just 0.33 PPG at home, failing to win any of their three matches and scoring only 0.67 goals per game at Estadi Ciutat de València. Their defensive numbers also dip on home soil, conceding 1.67 goals per match with 0% clean sheets, and an xGA of 1.85 that mirrors their overall vulnerability.Los Periquitos, despite a 2-0 defeat to Barcelona, produced enough chances to score and remain far more consistent. With 1.80 PPG overall and 2.00 PPG away, they look a far more balanced unit, conceding just 0.83 goals per away match and keeping 33% clean sheets on the road. Their expected goals and xGA numbers (1.30 vs 1.29) reflect stability at both ends. History also leans their way, with 10 wins from 26 H2Hs and a high 73% BTTS rate in this fixture.
