Lecce do not seem to be at their sharpest following a disappointing 2â0 home defeat to Roma, a match that once again exposed their attacking limitations. As Parma are desperate to get back on course, we predict a 1-0 away win. The Giallorossi have scored just 0.50 goals per game across all settings this season and have failed to find the net in 60% of their matches. Defensively they are respectableâ1.17 goals conceded per game at home, with 33% clean sheetsâbut their difficulties up front continue to hunt them. No fresh injuries is the only positive for the hosts.The Gli Emiliani also suffered a 2â0 setback, losing to league leaders Inter, but their overall profile is more balanced. They are significantly stronger away from home (1.75 PPG, 50% win rate) and show improved attacking output on their travels (1.25 goals scored, 0% failed-to-score rate). Even with Frigan, Ndiaye, and Suzuki still sidelined, their numbers remain solid. Expected metrics support Parmaâs slight edge: 1.26 xG away vs Lecceâs modest 1.23 xG at home.
