Heracles are stuck at the bottom with just 19 points and slim survival chances, while Ajax aim to keep their Champions League hopes alive after a 2-1 loss to Twente. Given Heracles’ shaky defence, our prediction leans toward a 2-1 away win. The Black and Whites will be without banned defender Mimeirhel Benita following a heavy 4-1 defeat to Heerenveen. The hosts are in poor form (LWLLLLDLDL), picking up only 0.50 points per game and conceding 2.60 goals on average, while scoring just 0.80. Their defensive issues are even worse away, but even at home they struggle to keep clean sheets.Ajax have also been inconsistent, but remain the stronger side statistically, averaging 1.70 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per match. Midfielder Rayane Bounida returns from suspension, boosting their options. The fact that there are no fresh injury worries in the visiting team goes in favour of our betting angle. Historically, Ajax dominate this fixture with 19 wins in 27 meetings, while 81% of clashes have produced over 1.5 goals.