Groningen host NAC Breda in a matchup where both sides are desperate to improve their recent form. Given Breda’s poor away record, our prediction points toward a 2-1 home win. The home side received positive news with Travis Hernes returning from injury after missing the 1-1 draw with Go Ahead Eagles. Groningenâs numbers at home remain fairly balanced: they average 1.50 goals scored and concede 1.25 per match, while their home expected goals (2.41) suggests they often create more than they convert. Overall, they take 30% of available wins and have registered a clean sheet in just 20% of matches.NAC Breda arrive after a 1-0 defeat to Telstar and without fresh injury concerns, but their away record is concerning. They average only 0.25 points per game on the road and concede 1.75 goals per away match. Breda also fail to score in 50% of their away fixtures, though their overall BTTS rate still sits at 50%. Their expected goals away (1.77) shows they can create chances, but efficiency remains a major issue.
