Sporting Gijon are eager to return to winning ways in Segunda Division and with Valladolid struggling for form, we predict a 2-1 home win. Los Rojiblancos remain competitive, coming off a 1â1 draw with Albacete and posting strong home numbers: 1.80 PPG, 60% home win rate, and conceding just 1.20 goals per game at El Molinon. Their expected-goals metrics are steady as well (xG 1.52, xGA 1.21), suggesting a balanced, controlled approach. Injuries continue to trouble Sporting Gijon, with Cuenca, Curbelo, and Loum all ruled out again, but they should not be sorely missed.Real Valladolid travel to Asturias in poor form after a heavy 5â1 loss to Granada, and will miss suspended defender Clement Michelin, further weakening a back line already conceding 2.20 goals per match. Valladolid have lost four of their last five and worryingly score only 1.00 goal per game, failing to find the net in 50% of their fixtures. Their away record offers slight improvement (1.00 PPG), but defensive issues remain (2.50 conceded away).
