Genk head into this clash on the back of a 2-1 victory over Antwerp, showing solid home form with 2.00 points per game and clean sheets in 60% of home matches. With Leuven struggling defensively of late, we predict a 3-1 home win. Despite the suspension of defender Matte Smets, their defensive setup is unlikely to suffer drastically. Offensively, they average 2.00 goals per game and have a strong expected goals figure of 1.58, indicating consistent chances created.Leuven, meanwhile, head into the match with attacking potential but defensive fragility, having conceded 1.60 goals per match overall and 2.00 on the road. The return of Gil and Kaba may stabilize the backline, but they are likely to struggle against Genkâs home firepower. Historically, Genk dominates this fixture, winning 71% of the last 14 meetings, while 79% of matches have seen over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.