Derby County will be looking to get back on course after a narrow 2-1 defeat to Wrexham when they face Leeds United in the FA Cup last 64. Given the attacking potentials of the two teams, we predict a 2-2 draw. Derbyâs matches have been extremely open recently, with BTTS landing in 80% of their games and the team scoring in every outing. However, their defensive record remains a concern, conceding 1.30 goals per match and allowing 1.37 xGA overall. At Pride Park, they have taken just 1.00 point per game, winning only 20% of their home fixtures.Leeds United have been in inconsistent form following an unlucky 4-3 loss to Newcastle, but there is positive news: Nmecha, Okafor, and Tanaka are all expected to return to the starting XI. The Whitesâ games are even more chaotic than Derbyâs, averaging 3.60 total goals, with an enormous 90% BTTS rate. Their defence remains fragileâonly 10% clean sheetsâyet their attack regularly delivers (1.90 goals per match, 1.53 xG).
