Benfica return home looking to respond after a frustrating 1-1 draw with Casa Pia, and theyâll be boosted by the return of right-back Amar Dedic. As Nacional are not regarded as good travellers, we predict a routine 3-0 home win. Benfica’s recent form remains strong, averaging 2.00 points per game, with a solid attacking output of 1.80 goals per match and an impressive 2.11 expected goals at home. Defensively, Jose Mourinho’s men are reliable at home as well, conceding just 0.80 goals per game.Nacional travel to Lisbon with renewed confidence after a 2-0 win over Estrela, but their overall form is still weak, collecting only 0.80 points per game. Their away performances are particularly poor, with no wins and just 0.25 points per game, scoring only 0.50 goals per match. Injuries to Baeza and Jose Gomes, along with the suspension of key midfielder Paulinho Boia, further weaken their chances against top opposition. Head-to-head heavily favors Benfica, who have won 86% of the last 21 meetings, with 81% of those matches producing over 2.5 goals.
