Famalicao vs Casa Pia Prediction & BETTING TIPS - 23/02/2026

With no new injury concerns and confidence boosted by a strong showing in a narrow 1–0 defeat to Sporting CP, Famalicao look well positioned for a response at home. As Casa Pia are not regarded as good travellers, we predict a 2-1 home win. Famalicao’s statistics at the Estadio Municipal are impressive: 75% home win rate, 3.00 goals scored on average, and 50% clean sheets. The side’s expected goals at home (1.86) highlight how consistently they create chances in front of their own fans.Casa Pia, however, arrive weakened. First-team pillars Larrazabal and Cassiano are both suspended, stripping the visitors of width and goal threat. While Os Gansos showed spirit in their 3–2 victory over Arouca, their away output remains modest—just 0.75 goals scored per match, paired with 1.75 conceded. Their xGA away (1.61) suggests defensive issues that a strong home side like Famalicao can exploit.