Fiorentina and Milan face each other at Stadio Artemio Franchi in what is expected to be a close Serie A encounter, with 1-1 our predicted outcome. The Viola proved their worth in a 2â2 draw with Lazio, but their overall form remains inconsistent. They are strong at home (1.80 PPG, 60% win rate, 1.80 goals scored) yet extremely poor away, which inflates their overall volatility. Offensively, they usually produce at the Artemio Franchi (1.95 expected goals at home) and concede less compared to the road (1.05 xGA at home). Dzeko is doubtful but not central to Italianoâs setup, while Fazzini remains a long-term absentee.AC Milan travel to Florence in far better shape following a 1â1 draw with Genoa, maintaining a solid run of results (1.80 PPG) with excellent away numbers (1.67 PPG, 50% win rate, 1.17 goals conceded). Their expected metrics also show balance and control: 1.34 expected goals created away, 1.31 xGA. Defensively, they are much more reliable than Fiorentina (40% clean sheets vs Violaâs 10% overall). Both Christopher Nkunku and Santiago Gimenez remain sidelined, meaning that Rafael Leao should keep his place up front.
