Villarreal take on Alaves after a confidence-boosting 3-1 victory over Elche, with defender Santiago Mourinho cleared to feature again. Given Villarreal’s attacking potential, we predict that they will defeat Alaves 3-1 on Matchday 19. Marcelinoâs side remain unpredictable (WLLLW), but their matches are consistently open, averaging 3.20 total goals per game. The Yellow Submarine score 1.50 goals per match at home, yet their defensive issues persist, keeping just one clean sheet in four at La Ceramica. Their expected goals profile (1.78 xG vs 1.45 xGA overall) also shows a team that creates well but often leaves gaps.The Basques head into Saturday’s clash with forward Carlos Protesoni suspended, though his absence should not heavily impact the starting XI. Their form is similarly mixed (WLWLD), but they tend to be more compact away from home, conceding 1.75 goals per game on the road compared to Villarrealâs 1.50 at home. Scoring, however, remains a concernâAlaves have failed to find the net in 50% of away matches. Still, their defence travels relatively well, posting 25% away clean sheets, better than Villarrealâs home defensive record.
