Stevenage aim to put an end to their four-game winless run, but with Luton turning their Kenilworth Road into a real fortress, we predict a 1-0 home win. The Hatters return home after a narrow 1â0 defeat to Exeter, but despite having no new injury concerns, they remain without key attacking figures Adebayo, Baptiste, Jones, and Richards. Even so, Jack Wilshereâ side continue to look much stronger at Kenilworth Road, where they average 2.33 points per game, score freely (2.67 per match), and keep 50% clean sheets. Their underlying numbers at home also impress, with 1.69 xG for and only 0.83 xGA.The Boro, meanwhile, travel well â their away PPG (1.60) is significantly stronger than their home form â but they remain very inconsistent. Alex Revell has a full squad available, and his side concede just 0.60 goals per game away, but their attacking output remains modest (1.00 scored). They keep 60% clean sheets away, but that reflects a defensive-first approach, not control of matches.
