Livingston return to home action desperate to halt their slide after a narrow 1-0 defeat to Hearts. As Livingston and St. Mirren seem to be evenly matched, we predict a 1-1 draw. David Martindaleâs side have won only one game so far this season, and their underlying numbers explain why: despite averaging 1.40 goals scored at home, they concede 2.40 per match, leaving them with just 0.40 points per game at the Tony Macaroni Arena. Their xGA of 1.52 at home shows the defence is consistently under pressure, while failing to score in 40% of their games limits any chance of momentum. However, Livingston at least have no new injuries to deal with ahead of this crucial fixture.St. Mirren also come into this match following defeat, losing 2-0 at Motherwell, but their overall form is significantly stronger. The Saints average 1.67 points per game at home, though away they struggle, collecting only 0.25 points per match and conceding 2.50 goals on the road. Their xGA of 1.73 away and lack of clean sheets underline their defensive issues, though they too report no fresh injury concerns, with Ayunga and OâHara remaining long-term absentees.
