Lazio and Fiorentina face each other at Stadio Olimpico in what is expected to be a close encounter, with 1-1 our predicted outcome. With Marusic and Noslin suspended and Dia and Dele-Bashiru on international duty, Lazio squad depth will be tested. Losing Taty Castellanos to West Ham further reduces Lazioâs attacking options, which is reflected in their modest scoring return of 1.00 goal per home match. Still, Lazio defend well in Rome, conceding just 0.50 goals per game and keeping 67% clean sheets at home. Their xGA of 1.18 also highlights solid defensive structure.The Viola travel to “The Eternal City” with problems of their own, especially away from home where they have lost every match and scored just 0.25 goals per game. Their 75% failed-to-score rate on the road is especially alarming. Dzeko and Richardson are doubtful, but Moise Kean is expected to return to the XI, offering more mobility in attack. La Violaâs overall expected goals of 1.68 shows they do create chances, but defensive leaksâconceding 1.75 awayâremain a concern. Historically, Lazio hold the edge with 20 wins from 36 meetings.
